Archive for June, 2009



A Big Electoral Swing?

The indications are that the DUP’s core vote has slumped in Thursday’s European elections.  The intervention of Jim Allister has resulted in a great swathe of voters returning to a clearly anti-Agreement and anti-Sinn Fein agenda.  Rumours from the hills suggest that a significant cohort of voters has become very disenchanted with a DUP that has lost touch with its voter base and is milking the system through power dynasties and double/triple jobbing.

The indications are that the Conservative/UUP vote has held up.  However it has not grown to the extent that many would have hoped given the intervention of the Conservative campaigning machine and the support of Conservative big-hitters like William Hague and David Cameron.

Whether Jim Nicholson is elected remains to be seen.  It’s likely to be a close-run thing if he is.  However the closeness clearly shows that there is a significant opportunity for the Conservatives moving forward.

The TUV is unlikely to be able to muster much in the way of political talent other than Allister.  Whereas there is every possibility that the Conservatives can find a good number of very articulate and talented candidates for the Westminster elections.  The challenge is to ensure that the candidates are more articulate than Jim Nicholson and more clearly define the advantages of a move towards political inclusion in mainstream UK politics.  Nicholson was unable to do this adequately during his campaign.  That is a great pity.  But the more encouraging conclusion is that there is a strong Conservative voter base in Northern Ireland. 

Now we need to step up a gear and sell the project with much more conviction than Jim Nicholson could muster.

None of the Above

I exercised my democratic right and voted last night in the European Election.  However, judging from the electoral register in front of the official who issued my voting form, I was one of a tiny minority.  She also indicated that, in my Lisburn ward at least, turnout was awful.  Given the number of lines through voters on her sheet I’d estimate turnout of around 30% max at my time of voting (around 9.00pm). 

The line-up of candidates is part of the explanation.  The ‘headline’ DUP candidate, with her excruciating voice, was an utter voter turn-off – not just against the DUP but for local politics in general.  Allister came across as a nasty little man, wittering on about the Protestant community.  The Shinners obviously just regard the whole EU enterprise as a money spinner.  And Jim Nicholson of UCUNF never really mastered the ability to sell the Conservative and Unionist project as anything other than a repackaging of the UUP.  A real opportunity missed and a very dull candidate (regardless of his EU experience).

However young Ian Parsley came across as competent in the campaign (despite an awful Alliance PEB).  And the Green candidate, Agnew, gave a respectable performance – setting himself apart from the tribal antics of the other candidates very well (just a pity the Greens’ manifesto is up the left). 

However, none of this was enough to shake the electorate out of apathy for politics.  No-one cares about the EU – it’s too distant to get enough people away from the opening night of Big Brother and a glass of Sauvignon Blanc.  Throw in the expenses scandal, the terrible line-up of mainstream candidates, a Westminster government in disarray, and an Assembly that gets little if anything done, who could blame people for sitting at home?

Perhaps if we added a “None of the Above” box to the voting paper turnout might improve.

Should Children be Able to Opt Out of RE?

I had an email from Brian McClinton about a very interesting topic for discussion at next week’s meeting of the Humanist Association of NI.  If you would like to attend this meeting as a guest perhaps you might like to contact me and I’ll forward your details on to Brian and he can provide you with venue details.  I’m going to try to attend myself.

Alison Mawhinney has confirmed that she will speak at next Thursday’s meeting (11th June).  Her topic is ‘Opting out of RE’. 

Dr Mawhinney is a member of the School of Law at QUB. She and a couple of colleagues have received government research funding to look into the question of the teaching of religious education in schools and in particular the question of opt-out provisions.  As part of this research, they would hope to talk to young people from humanist backgrounds as well as humanist parents and associations.

Education is an important area for Humanists, and the opt out provisions from RE and Assemblies raise a number of questions for us. For example:

Do young people from minority and secular belief backgrounds feel that opt-outs respect their right to religious freedom?

To what extent do young people feel that opting out impacts negatively or positively on their sense of belonging to their school community?

Do parents and communities consider that opt-outs in schools protect religious freedom?

In GB, Sixth Formers can opt out without parental consent, but not in NI. Why is this so?

Should opting in replace opting out?

DUP Defection to Conservatives

Deirdre%20NelsonI was delighted to read, today, about Councillor Deirdre Nelson’s defection to the Conservative Party. 

It is also particularly gratifying that she chose to defect to the Conservatives rather than the UUP (she chose the real thing rather than some dodgy brand).

I’ve just been reading Councillor Nelson’s biography and it reads like a true Conservative’s.  Well educated, well travelled, with obvious concern for her local community. 

I’m just a tad concerned that her reason for defecting was because of old Ian’s retirement from leadership of the DUP.  Does she regard the new leadership a bit too namby pamby?  Who knows.  But I’ll give her the benefit of the doubt and discard any questions in my mind about why anyone would want to be a DUP member in the first place. 

Political conversions are possible s’pose…

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Musings on things political and secular…

This is my site where I share my world views for anyone who might be remotely interested. Visit only if you think the content is interesting. Oh and comment is free. So go right ahead and agree or disagree. But, please, be kind and polite (especially to me).
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